A cold front is set to move through the Kansas City area on Tuesday, sparking severe thunderstorms that could produce large hail, damaging winds, and potential tornadoes, according to the National Weather Service.
Before the severe weather hits, isolated to scattered showers might develop in the morning as an upper-level disturbance over west central Missouri drifts east and northeast. The weather service mentioned that any storms forming in the morning are not expected to be strong or severe.
As this disturbance moves away, skies are expected to become partly sunny, allowing temperatures to climb into the mid-80s, setting the stage for severe weather.
The main threat of severe weather will come in the evening. The weather service forecasts that thunderstorms will develop along a cold front in eastern and southeastern Nebraska in the afternoon, moving southeast through the evening as the cold front advances.
These storms could become severe, with hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter and damaging winds exceeding 58 mph. An isolated tornado is also possible, with the weather service indicating a 2-4% chance of a tornado occurring within 25 miles of any point.
“Overall coverage of storms looks to be scattered to widespread but not necessarily a solid line as they’re moving southeastward through the area,” the weather service stated. Some thunderstorms could form clusters, with a few exhibiting supercell characteristics.
The storms are expected to reach northwestern Missouri between 4 and 7 p.m. and arrive in the Kansas City area between 7 and 10 p.m., according to the weather service. They will continue moving south of Kansas City between 10 p.m. and 1 a.m.
Dry, Less Humid Weather Coming
After the storms pass, drier weather will take over.
Sunny skies are expected for the rest of the work week, with temperatures in the low to mid-80s, which is typical for this time of year in Kansas City, where the average temperature is 82 degrees.
This week’s weather pattern is known for triggering storms that often travel farther than initially predicted. The weather service mentioned that the forecast should be monitored for any storms that might affect the Kansas City area.
The next chance for precipitation is expected from Saturday into Sunday.
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