Tropical Depression Two has formed over the eastern Gulf and is forecast to bring several days of heavy rainfall across parts of the Southeastern United States.
Forecasters say the system is likely to strengthen into Tropical Storm Bertha within the next 24 hours as it continues to organize and atmospheric pressure near its center gradually decreases. A tropical storm has sustained winds between 39 and 73 mph, making it stronger than a tropical depression.
Warm Gulf Waters Supporting Development
The system, previously identified as Invest 91L, is currently producing thunderstorms near its center. Warm Gulf waters are providing the moisture needed for gradual strengthening.
However, upper-level winds from the northeast and pockets of dry air are expected to limit the storm’s overall intensity, reducing the likelihood of rapid strengthening.
Heavy Rain Expected Along the Gulf Coast
Although the strongest rainfall is expected to remain offshore, tropical downpours are still forecast to affect areas from Florida’s west coast to Louisiana.
Forecast models indicate the center of the system will move into the northeastern Gulf, south of Tallahassee, beginning Monday.
Storm Track Depends on Future Strength
Meteorologists say the storm’s path will depend on how much it strengthens.
- If it becomes Tropical Storm Bertha, the heaviest thunderstorms are expected to shift west toward the Louisiana and Texas coasts, which is currently considered the most likely outcome.
- If the system remains weaker, it is more likely to move inland.
At this stage, forecasters do not expect the system to become a major wind event due to unfavorable atmospheric conditions.
Tropical Depression Two is expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Bertha while bringing periods of heavy rain to portions of the Gulf Coast and Southeast. Forecasters continue to closely monitor its development and potential impacts through the middle of the week.