Marina
Although Tuesday promises calm and dry conditions across Kansas, the real drama is set for Wednesday.
Morning patchy fog may blanket parts of North and South Central Kansas, adding moisture to the atmosphere and setting the stage for a potentially severe weather event later in the day.
Expect high afternoon temperatures in the mid-80s to lower 90s °F, which will further fuel storm development.
Forecast Highlights
Here’s a quick bullet rundown:
- Tuesday: Mild, dry, uneventful—ideal prep for what’s to come.
- Wednesday Morning: Cool, dry start with localized patchy fog enhancing early moisture.
- Wednesday Afternoon to Evening: A cold front collides with warm, humid air—triggers thunderstorms, some of which may ramp up to severe.
Potential Storm Threats
- Large hail (over 1 inch) most likely.
- Damaging wind gusts also possible.
- While less likely, an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
These severe storms are expected to conclude by midnight, as the front pushes southeast.
Detailed Breakdown
1. Quiet Before the Storm – Tuesday Conditions
Enjoy a dry, uneventful day. This lull precedes a shift in weather dynamics as the atmosphere readies for Wednesday’s potential volatility.
2. Moisture & Fog – The Morning of Wednesday
Patchy fog adds a layer of humidity in the early hours—priming the air and creating conditions ripe for storm formation later in the day.
3. Afternoon Heat – Fueling Storm Development
Temperatures are projected to climb into the mid-80s to lower 90s °F, and the heat will help destabilize the air, increasing the likelihood of severe thunderstorm development.
4. Storms Along the Front
As the cold front advances, it’s expected to spark thunderstorms—a few of which may escalate to severe levels. Forecasters warn of:
- Hail over 1 inch
- Strong, damaging winds
- Possible isolated tornadoes
5. Short-Lived Threat Zone
Thankfully, this won’t be a prolonged event. Storms should taper off by midnight, but the window of risk during the evening hours will demand vigilance.
At-a-Glance
| Feature | Details |
|---|---|
| Day Before (Tuesday) | Mild, dry, calm |
| Wednesday Morning | Patchy fog, increased humidity |
| Afternoon Heat | Mid-80s to lower 90s °F, fueling instability |
| Storm Trigger | Cold front colliding with warm, moist air |
| Severe Risks | Large hail, damaging winds, isolated tornado |
| Duration | Storms wind down by midnight |
Your Wednesday forecast is anything but ordinary. A tranquil Tuesday gives way to potential severe weather Wednesday evening, as moisture-laden air and rising temperatures clash with an advancing cold front.
The result: storms capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, and even an isolated tornado. While the threat should wrap up by midnight, the time between afternoon and late evening calls for heightened awareness and preparedness.
Stay informed and ready—you could be betting on a safe forecast or a stormy surprise.
As we transition from a calm Tuesday into a potentially volatile Wednesday, all signs point toward a heightened risk of severe weather across Kansas.
While the day will begin quietly—with fog and rising humidity—conditions are expected to change rapidly by the afternoon. With temperatures climbing into the mid-80s to low 90s, and a cold front pushing through, the stage is set for powerful thunderstorms.
The primary threats include:
- Large hail over 1 inch
- Damaging wind gusts
- A low but possible risk of isolated tornadoes
Though the storm system is expected to weaken by midnight, the late-afternoon to evening hours will carry a real threat to property and safety. Residents are urged to stay weather-aware, monitor official forecasts, and have a severe weather plan in place.
Wednesday could go from warm and peaceful to wild and dangerous within hours. Don’t let the calm fool you—stay alert, stay safe, and stay informed.