As severe weather looms over Kansas this Tuesday evening, residents must be prepared for all forms of intense storms. After a mild Monday, conditions are primed for an active storm day, with tornadoes, hail, and strong winds all possible.
The National Weather Service has issued an Enhanced Risk for severe weather in parts of central and eastern Kansas, while the rest of the region is under a Slight Risk.
Here’s everything you need to know about the upcoming storm system and how to stay safe.
What to Expect on Tuesday Evening
On Tuesday, temperatures will warm up due to strong southerly winds pulling in warmer air. Highs will be in the 70s and 80s for most of the region, with northwest Kansas seeing cooler temperatures in the upper 60s and low 70s as they are the first to experience the cold front.
However, with these rising temperatures come increasing risks for severe weather, as the front collides with a warm, moist air mass over central Kansas. As a result, thunderstorms will develop, starting around 6 PM. Two primary areas of concern include:
- Ahead of the front: Isolated storms forming here will have the potential to develop into supercells and spawn tornadoes.
- Along the front: A line of storms will form, and straight-line winds could become the primary concern.
Key Risks: Tornadoes, Hail, and High Winds
The Storm Track 3 Forecast indicates that all forms of severe weather will be possible tomorrow evening. Here’s what you should be prepared for:
| Severe Weather Threat | Details | Expected Severity |
|---|---|---|
| Tornadoes | Isolated tornadoes may form ahead of the main line of storms. | Possible strong tornadoes in some areas. |
| Wind | Winds over 70 MPH likely, especially with straight-line winds. | Dangerous winds expected. |
| Hail | Hail as large as tennis ball-sized could occur with some storms. | Severe hail likely in some regions. |
| Lightning | Thunderstorms will be widespread. | Frequent lightning with storms. |
Fire Weather Warnings in Western Kansas
In addition to the severe storm risks, Fire Weather Watches and Warnings are in effect for much of western Kansas from 10 AM through 10 PM Tuesday.
Due to the strong winds, dry conditions, and warm temperatures, the risk of wildfires is high, especially if any sparks are allowed to spread.
Wind Advisories
Throughout Tuesday, expect strong southerly winds, with gusts reaching 40-50 MPH. The Wind Advisory for most of central Kansas will remain in effect from 10 AM Tuesday until 1 AM Wednesday, making for gusty conditions well into the night.
Be cautious if you’re driving, as the strong winds can create hazardous conditions, especially for high-profile vehicles.
Timing of the Storms
By the late evening hours, the front will begin to track eastward, and storms will form into a line. While straight-line winds will be the main concern, the risk of tornadoes remains, especially along the leading edge of the storms.
The good news is that the storms will move quickly out of Kansas by early Wednesday morning, and conditions will dry out as we head into the latter part of the week.
Wichita Forecast
Here’s a detailed breakdown of the Wichita Forecast for Tuesday and beyond:
| Day | High/Low | Weather | Wind | Chance of Storms |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tonight | Lo: 43 | Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy. | NE/SE 10-20 MPH | No storms expected. |
| Tomorrow | Hi: 73 | Mostly cloudy, windy. | SE/S 20-40 MPH | 40% chance of thunderstorms. |
| Tomorrow Night | Lo: 49 | Mostly to partly cloudy, windy. | S/SW 15-30 MPH | 70% chance of thunderstorms. |
| Wednesday | Hi: 70 | Partly cloudy, windy. | SE 10-20 MPH | No storms expected. |
Tuesday evening’s Storm Track 3 Forecast presents a significant threat of severe weather for much of Kansas. With tornadoes, hail, and high winds all possible, residents should take precautions now by reviewing their severe weather plans and staying updated on weather alerts.
By preparing in advance, you can help protect yourself and your property from the potential dangers of severe storms.